Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 12.421573 14.591079 16.967013 19.754120 22.925514 26.413233 30.530164
2025-02-16 8.329821 11.146624 14.576197 19.019078 24.577868 31.255465 39.830919
2025-02-23 6.117611 9.113962 13.088504 18.654799 26.142354 35.746900 48.859060
2025-03-02 4.741394 7.753857 12.053441 18.479767 27.650451 40.047327 57.803773
2025-03-09 3.773810 6.718194 11.206160 18.308966 28.975024 44.048834 66.523004
2025-03-16 2.835084 5.501407 9.842123 17.109016 28.571746 45.470696 71.632087
2025-03-23 2.461835 5.128202 9.707392 17.725233 30.871030 50.896814 82.806350
2025-03-30 2.198248 4.888062 9.737877 18.578206 33.577272 57.091421 95.509315
2025-04-06 1.798605 4.302567 9.066956 18.141002 34.114463 59.933298 103.246535
2025-04-13 1.416875 3.662666 8.183702 17.192853 33.658184 61.103583 108.375905
2025-04-20 1.311356 3.587798 8.361311 18.185774 36.622608 68.022113 123.103333
2025-04-27 1.218325 3.520502 8.539488 19.188743 39.673870 75.264727 138.760533
2025-05-04 1.036434 3.216344 8.213536 19.236682 41.113611 80.083975 151.083489
2025-05-11 0.868681 2.907403 7.832957 19.142434 42.313831 84.645160 163.408881
2025-05-18 0.720408 2.606403 7.412774 18.900875 43.192453 88.683339 175.080471
2025-05-25 0.602843 2.355488 7.060439 18.748666 44.215310 93.032626 187.544057
2025-06-01 0.504504 2.130080 6.725215 18.580652 45.173034 97.304544 200.099452
2025-06-08 0.382395 1.779736 5.990336 17.366284 43.792056 97.002975 204.231763
2025-06-15 0.345725 1.715628 6.018179 17.990619 46.425211 104.652277 223.592383
2025-06-22 0.320300 1.685455 6.136742 18.854548 49.659854 113.685558 246.040094
2025-06-29 0.262107 1.501596 5.765553 18.411765 49.900745 116.715414 257.137871
2025-07-06 0.202567 1.281951 5.231270 17.451434 48.836878 116.983667 262.850670
2025-07-13 0.192320 1.283649 5.408561 18.457111 52.510744 127.330354 288.984414